USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll: Californians oppose more fracking, but potential economic benefits open door for support
June 7, 2013
June 6, 2013 — Concerned about environmental and health impacts, California voters are opposed to increased use of fracking in the state, according to the latest USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll.
About 45 percent of voters oppose an increase in the use of fracking in California, and 37 percent support an increase. Another 46 percent of voters would pass an immediate ban on fracking, which could only be lifted by the state legislature, while 42 percent opposed this proposal.
However, voter support for the drilling practice increases once potential economic benefits are mentioned, according to the poll results. More than half (56 percent) of voters said fracking should be legal in California if the additional oil and gas was used to reduce energy and gas prices, with 33 percent still opposed to fracking.
“Voters are very wary of the idea of fracking, but when they’re told that it can reduce their bottom-line gasoline cost, they become more open-minded,” said Dan Schnur, director of the USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll and director of the Unruh Institute of Politics at USC. “People default into the position of not really wanting it until you inject the economic component into it.”
Fracking, or hydraulic fracturing, uses a high-pressure mixture of water, sand and other chemicals to extract oil and natural gas.
Fifty-eight percent of voters wanted to prohibit fracking in all areas near sources of groundwater, and 52 percent of voters favored offering tax incentives to companies with a track record of fracking safely. Eighty-four percent of voters supported a requirement to inform property owners of fracking near their land.
“The message to the energy sector is pretty clear here: Californians are willing to let you go ahead as long as you’re willing to abide by stricter regulations,” Schnur said. “Nobody here is buying the argument that the federal regulation is enough.”
For a video of Dan Schnur, director of the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics, and Evan Halper, Los Angeles Times Sacramento Bureau Chief, discussing respondents’ views on fracking, go to http://youtu.be/1hiWVEtZ69w.
Opponents of fracking are the most staunchly rooted in their opinions, the poll results show. When presented with statements both for and against fracking, 49 percent of voters agreed with a ban on fracking in California, saying fracking benefits big oil and gas companies and poses serious health concerns; 39 percent agreed with this “strongly.”
This includes about 60 percent of minorities in California: 64 percent of Black voters, 60 percent of Latino voters and 62 percent of Asian American voters support a ban on fracking when presented with a statement about health concerns. By double digits, White voters were much less likely to want to ban fracking despite health concerns, with 43 percent supporting a statewide ban.
In contrast, 33 percent of voters agreed with a statement to let fracking continue in the state, saying it is already subject to federal regulations and would create tens of thousands of new jobs in California; 22 percent of voters agreed with the statement “strongly.”
Thirty-eight percent of White voters agreed with the statement about the economic benefits of fracking and would want the practice to continue in California, compared to 19 percent of Black voters, 24 percent of Latino voters and 24 percent of Asian American voters.
When asked about the creation of state-specific regulations in California on fracking, 43 percent of Republican voters supported fracking in the state with additional regulations that would hold companies accountable, 33 percent said it should continue without new regulations and 16 percent supported an outright ban. Among Democratic voters, 41 percent support fracking if there are new regulations, 11 percent said the practice should continue as is, while 37 percent support a ban. Among voters with no party preference, 39 percent support fracking with new regulations, 18 percent said we don’t need additional state regulations and 34 percent support a state ban.
Regionally, support for fracking is strongest in the Central Valley, which sits on the Monterey Shale Formation and a potential 15.4 billion barrels of oil that would require fracking to be tapped. More than two-out-of-three (69 percent) voters in the Central Valley said fracking should be legal, and 24 percent supported a statewide ban. In the San Francisco Bay Area, where support for fracking is the weakest, 50 percent of voters say fracking should be legal and 38 percent support a ban.
The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll was conducted May 27-June 2, 2013, by Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Republican polling firm American Viewpoint. The full sample of 1,500 registered voters has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.
Additional poll results and methodology are available here.
About the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll
The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is a series of statewide public opinion polls in California, designed to survey voter attitudes on a wide range of political, policy, social and cultural issues.
Conducted at regular intervals throughout the year, the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll is one of the largest polls of registered voters in the state and has been widely cited, helping to inform the public and to encourage discourse on key political and policy issues.
About USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences
The USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences is the heart of the university. The largest, oldest and most diverse of USC’s 19 schools, USC Dornsife is composed of more than 30 academic departments and dozens of research centers and institutes. USC Dornsife is home to approximately 10,000 undergraduate and graduate students and more than 750 faculty members with expertise across the humanities, social sciences and sciences.
About the Los Angeles Times
The Los Angeles Times is the largest metropolitan daily newspaper in the country, with a daily readership of two million (three million on Sunday) and a combined print and interactive local weekly audience of 4.5 million. The fast-growing latimes.com draws over 10 million unique visitors monthly.