It’s all about turnout
“Minority voters are key to understanding the dynamics of elections in California as well as other states – blue, red, and purple alike – in the U.S.
“Election outcomes are all about turnout, among the most difficult aspects to predict. The win by Democrat Doug Jones against Roy Moore in the 2017 Alabama special election for the U.S. Senate provides an important example of the effect of strong mobilization among Democrats in that state.”
Jane Junn holds the Associates Chair in Social Sciences and is a professor of political science and gender studies at USC.
Minorities and millennials
“There is definitely a lot of energy on the left—fueled by anti-establishment fervor and visceral hate for Donald Trump. But the path for Democrats to regain control of Congress and the White House most likely runs closer to the middle of the road.
“The challenge for Democrats is to harness the energy of minorities and millennials evident in the primaries and couple it with an appeal to moderates who are fed up with President Donald Trump.”
Sherry Bebitch Jeffe is a senior fellow at the USC Sol Price School of Public Policy.
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